California
State University Long Beach
GEOL 300i; Earth Systems
and Global Change
Lecture 11
Dr.
Rick Behl
Systems Theory (cybernetics)
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Views the interaction between components or
systems
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Feedback relationships
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Controls or "Cause and effect"
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Negative feedback
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Towards stability (homeostasis)
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Dimethylsulfide & Phytoplankton
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Positive feedback
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"Closed systems" vs. "Open
systems"
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Boundaries & boundary conditions
Models
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Conceptual framework
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Simplified representation of the real world
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Broken down into essential components and
interactions
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Static models
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Dynamic models
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Changing conditions through time
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Simulations
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Numerical calculation of detailed response
to new conditions
Modeling the Earth
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Goals: to simulate:
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Chemical cycling
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Oceanic circulation
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Atmospheric circulation
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Temperature distribution
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Precipitation
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Ecological distribution
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Primary productivity and fisheries
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Location of resource accumulations
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Geochemical box models
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Reservoirs
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Reservoir size or stocks or sinks
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Fluxes or flows
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Residence time (= size of reservoir
/ input rate)
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General Circulation Models
(GCMs)
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Three dimensional supercomputer
models
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Finite element analysis
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Coarse resolution
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Combination models
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Goal: better hindcasting and
forcasting ability
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"Global average" vs. "Spatially
resolved" models
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Sloan et al, 1997
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Weathering and chemical flux
to oceans
Problems & limitations of models
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Inadequate understanding of processes
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Inadequate coverage of data in geologic
past
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Poor spacial resolution
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Computational power limits chronologic
resolution
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The Biosphere is a key part of the
Earth System
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Yet, most models are primarily physical/chemical
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Coming up next... the Gaia Hypothesis
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For any questions or problems with these pages contact
John Francis
Email: jfrancis@csulb.edu
Phone: 562-985-4928
written by R. Behl.
Last changes: 10 Oct. 1997